UPDATED: 09-09-26 19:20 PDT

stick Canisius
  
Canisius              
W-L: ( 4- 7) PR = 90.2625

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 2- 5 214 A App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 3-13 214 A App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 5- 8 227 A Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 3- 2 228 A Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 4- 2 301 H LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 7- 3 306 H Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 7- 6 307 A Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 1-14 308 A Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 0-10 520 A Merrimack MAAC ( 2- 7, 89.7) 0- 7 520 H Marist MAAC ( 3-11, 91.7) 8-10

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A App State               2- 5      -3    -6    +      2.59
   214 A App State               3-13     -10    -6    --    -4.41
   214 A App State               5- 8      -3    -6    +      2.59
   227 A Towson                  3- 2       1    -2    +      2.59
   228 A Towson                  4- 2       2    -2    +      3.59
   301 H LSU                     7- 3       4    -6    +++   10.07
   306 H Texas A&M               7- 6       1    -8    +++    9.05
   307 A Delaware                1-14     -13    -3    ---  -10.45
   308 A Delaware                0-10     -10    -3    ---   -7.45
   520 A Merrimack               0- 7      -7     0    ---   -6.93
   520 H Marist                  8-10      -2    -1          -1.26

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Delaware                1-14     -13    -3    ---  -10.45
   308 A Delaware                0-10     -10    -3    ---   -7.45
   520 A Merrimack               0- 7      -7     0    ---   -6.93
   214 A App State               3-13     -10    -6    --    -4.41

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 H LSU                     7- 3       4    -6    +++   10.07
   306 H Texas A&M               7- 6       1    -8    +++    9.05
   213 A App State               2- 5      -3    -6    +      2.59
   214 A App State               5- 8      -3    -6    +      2.59
   227 A Towson                  3- 2       1    -2    +      2.59
   228 A Towson                  4- 2       2    -2    +      3.59

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A App State       (31-23, 95.2)     2- 5       -4.72      13.70       0.68         2.63            -5.32
   3 A App State       (31-23, 95.2)     3-13       -4.72      13.70       0.68         2.63            -5.32
   3 A App State       (31-23, 95.2)     5- 8       -4.72      13.70       0.68         2.63            -5.32
   3 A Towson          (20-33, 91.2)     3- 2       -8.72       9.70       0.68         2.63            54.58
   3 A Towson          (20-33, 91.2)     4- 2       -8.72       9.70       0.68         2.63            54.58
   3 H LSU             (31-26, 97.0)     7- 3       -2.89      15.53      -0.68         2.63            78.13
   3 H Texas A&M       (40-18, 99.0)     7- 6       -0.91      17.52      -0.68         2.63            88.57
   3 A Delaware        (20-30, 92.1)     1-14       -7.76      10.67       0.68         2.63            -9.31
   3 A Delaware        (20-30, 92.1)     0-10       -7.76      10.67       0.68         2.63            -9.31
   3 A Merrimack       ( 2- 7, 89.7)     0- 7      -10.24       8.19       0.68         2.63           -12.57
   3 H Marist          ( 3-11, 91.7)     8-10       -8.22      10.21      -0.68         2.63           -11.70
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       217.00

winning pts = 275.8487 losing points = -58.8493

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------